God is the null hypothesis
I'll try make this as simple as possible.
In order to assume God isn't real you have to disprove these facts
1) Infinity exists
2) Possibility is real
3) Therefore infinite possibility is real
4) Therefore with infinite probability of anything as real the idea of an intelligent designer as creator is certain
Now lets take what we know, to verify this
If you start with nothing, can you end up with something? No.
Can anything create itself? No
Therefore something created the universe it didn't just fall into place on it's own.
If something created the Universe, then that something is god because no other thing could create it unless it is defined as god.
An infinitely powerful being is the only explanation that could cause something other than nothing to exist at the beginning.
Done.