I've thought about pavlov methods and tried to include them my lucid dream experiments. Can tell you that there's already a problem before we even start to follow that path.
Assume the following picture:
As you can see, at a certain point of practice, the dog reacts to the conditioned stimulus (which was before neutral) with salivation. He has learnt to associate it with the incoming of the food.
The deal is, there have been made several tests about the "reward". The question is:
how much conditioned stimulus can you make the subject respond to with conditioned response
without reward? You know for a point that if you didn't show the food to the dog, after several times he would unlearn the association.
Now you may ask what has this to do with lucid dreaming?
Exactly that. You won't get a lucid in the first attempts that you do it (let's assume not and leave those exceptional cases behind). So you would be performing the action without a link to the unconditioned stimulus (the lucid dreaming). So, isn't this a backwards process? In this particular case, we would be doing a conditioned response as a result of the conditioned stimulus (the ringtone). But how can the neutral stimulus turn into conditioned if it hasn't been linked with the unconditioned one?
We could go with the hypothesis that the subject will strike for the conditioned response due expectation on a (delayed) reward. But doesn't this make the process obsolete since the more repetition without reward (meaning, the more you perform a RC with ringtone without getting a lucid that night) would lead to less focus/expectation on it? Once again, we can assume "spontaneous recovery" meaning the subject would be "minimally" aware on the future in terms of "an alarm! I must do a reality check" but still....
Short version: this is backward conditioning, how can it help?
In advance, thanks for making a post about this, it's a topic that bugs me due this particular issue

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